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Post #124

RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 982 and 983 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Nov 2, 2024 — Nov 3, 2024 War Day 982–983

Pictures 1 and 4 are from Day 982 (Saturday 2 November), and pictures 5 to 8 are from Day 983 (Sunday 3 November).

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A reminder that these maps are confirming updates from previous days (i.e. 12 to 48 hours delayed from each day).

Ukrainian Advance
8.76 km²
Overall (set): 8.18 km²
Russian Advance
87.21 km²
Net Change
-78.45 km²

Situation Snapshots

Imagery, commentary, and territorial changes from the period.

8 entries
Russian Forces Advance: 33.20 km²

Top Advance = 15.87km2, Middle Advance = 0.98km2, Bottom Advance = 16.35km2

On the Oskil River front, Russian forces continue their advances in multiple areas. On the north side, Russia cleared and captured the fields and trenches south of Pishchane that I mentioned in the previous post, meaning the village now has a large buffer around it. This will aid Russia in being able to move its forces all the way to Kruhlyakivka (above the m) to take part in the battles along the Oskil River, with less risk of being attacked on the way.

To the south, Russian assault groups from Vyshneve continued their attacks south over the past 2 days, and captured the village of Pershotravneve. This also allowed Russia to capture the fields east of the village, as Ukraine retreats southwards. Russian troops will likely continue heading south here, as the village of Kopanky is only 600m away from their current positions in Pershotravneve. Russian command may also be considering heading west, as Pershotravneve has a road that directly connects to Borova, Ukraine’s military and supply hub in this area.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 5.89 km²

Top Advance = 3.32km2, Middle Advance = 0.94km2, Bottom Advance = 1.63km2

Further south on the same front, Russia continued their attacks around Terny and Torske, capturing some of the fields and a forest area east of both settlements. Ukraine launched a counterattack in Torsek and managed to drive out Russia from its small foothold in the town, and are currently trying to reestablish the defences on the eastern side of the settlement.

Ukrainian Forces Advance: 1.60 km²

Advance = 1.60km2

On the Kurakhove front, heavy clashes continue around the main road in Novodmytrivka, with Ukraine desperately trying to hold the remaining 1/3 they still control. Whilst this was going on, Russia also managed to advance in the fields south of the village, moving through the treelines to the west.
Russian Forces Advance: 18.98 km²

Advance = 18.98km2

On the Vuhledar front, Russian forces continued their offensive heading north, capturing a large area of fields, several trenches and the village of Maksymivka. As I predicted in the previous post, Maksymivka fell very quickly once the assault began, with Ukraine retreating early due to a lack of forces and defensive positions, leaving the settlement mostly intact.

With Maksymivka captured, there is now only a large area of open fields with no defences between Russia and the settlements along the Suki Yaly River. Whilst Russia will still need to be careful in securing their flanks and moving their supplies up, they should be able to continue their current high pace of advance north.
Russian Forces Advance: 6.52 km²

Advance = 6.52km2

On the Kurakhove front once again, this time on the east side around Kurakhivka. Russia troops continued their advances from previous days southwest of the town, and have now captured the remainder of Vovchenka (which Ukraine abandoned without a fight), as well as the rest of the mine and slag heap. This heap is the tallest point in the surrounding area, and will give Russia great line of sight over the area north of the reservoir, as well as Kurakhove itself. There have also been some reports of Russia reaching Illinka from the north, but I cannot confirm this yet.
Russian Forces Advance: 13.17 km²

Left Advance = 9.71km2, Middle Advance = 3.30km2, Right Advance = 0.16km2

Following on from picture 4, Russian forces expanded the buffer west of Shakhtarske and Yasna Polyana (above the @), securing the fields adjacent to these settlements. It uncertain whether Russia is considering heading west towards Rozdolne and Velyka Novosilka at this time, or will prioritise their current offensive north. Either way, increasing the buffer around these Shakhtarske and Yasna Polyana is beneficial for Russia.

To the east, similar to the above Russian troops started moving east of Bohoyavlenka, expanding the buffer around the town. Russia has also been attacking towards Trudove (blue dot) over the past few days, however specific information of the outcome of these battles hasn’t come through yet.

On the far eastern side of the map, Russian forces also made a small advance inside Antonivka, taking another section of the southeastern side of the town. Progress remains slow here due to Russia only having 1 route to approach the settlement, which is constantly attacked by drones.
Russian Forces Advance: 15.34 km²

Top Advance = 8.79km2, Bottom Advance = 6.55km2

We head to the Kursk front for the first update here in a while. Heavy fighting has been ongoing across most of the front, however due to both sides releasing far less footage (either due to OPSEC or because they are occupied actually fighting) it has been difficult to actually determine if any territory has changed hands.

We now have an update regarding the northern side of the Kursk front, where Russian forces have slowly advanced through the fields and forest areas in the north over the past 2 weeks, capturing them and approaching Pogrebki (top blue dot). Over the same time period Ukraine pushed Russia out of Novaya Sorochina, recapturing the village and reestablishing the road connection to Ukrainian troops around Pogrebki. This also means the previous threat of encirclement for Ukrainian troops in northern Kursk has now been resolved, although they aren’t entirely out of the woods yet.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 1.27 km²

Advance = 1.27km2

Following on from Picture 2, Russian troops recaptured the northern side of Terny, which they lost a few days ago in a Ukrainian counterattack. The battle for the village will likely continue for some time, as both sides are finding attacking and counterattacking difficult given the terrain and level of destruction.