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Post #151

RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 1063 and 1064 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Jan 21, 2025 — Jan 22, 2025 War Day 1063–1064

Pictures 1 to 6 are from Day 1063 (Tuesday 21 January) and pictures 7 to 12 are from Day 1064 (Wednesday 22 January).

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A reminder that these maps are confirming updates from previous days (i.e. 12 to 48 hours delayed from each day).

Live map can be found here.

Ukrainian Advance
2.63 km²
Overall (set): 2.41 km²
Russian Advance
17.73 km²
Net Change
-15.10 km²

Situation Snapshots

Imagery, commentary, and territorial changes from the period.

20 entries
Russian Forces Advance: 0.26 km²

Advance = 0.26km2

Starting this update off in Chasiv Yar, Russia has begun the attack on the buildings of the bunker complex in the southern forest (video released but not posted to sub yet). This is the Russian group I mentioned briefly in the previous update, that joined in on the clearing of the forest (started by a northern group) 2 days ago. Judging by current progress, and the gradual capture of most of the forest, the fighting may soon shift towards the opposite side of the hill, into Chasiv Yars southern suburbs (east of Mykolaivka).

Russian Forces Advance: 0.34 km²

Middle Left Advance = 0.07km2, Bottom Left Advance = 0.27km2

Context
On the Toretsk front, Russia took over the last houses in northern Leonidivka, confirming full control of the village. At the same time, heavy clashes are ongoing in central Shcherbynivka, with Russia confirmed to have taken a few more houses in that are, as well as a small section of the railway line. Ukraine continues to reinforce this area, and is holding steady in Novospaske.
Russian Forces Advance: 2.51 km²

Advance = 2.51km2

On the Ocheretyne front, over the past 5 days Russian troops took over the small forest plantation of Baranivka (1 building), as well as the adjacent fields and treelines. In the same area, on the west side of the Bychok River, a separate Russian group mirrored this advance, capturing several treelines and a small trench network next to the river. There are already some reports that Russian forces are continuing to move north, heading towards Zelene Pole.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 0.55 km²

Very Top Advance = 0.41km2, Very Bottom Advance = 0.14km2

Context
Over to the Pokrovsk and Kurakhove fronts, starting with the north side, Ukraine counterattacked in Udachne, retaking the few residential buildings Russia had captured the day before, and pushing the assault group out of the town. There are reports that Ukraine has redeployed one of their units based around Hulyaipole (Zaporizhia front) to Udachne and Uspenivka (slightly south) to reinforce the area, which might explain some of the Ukrainian behaviour in this area. If true its likely part or all of the 102nd or 108th Territorial Defence Brigades, or the 6th Separate Rifle Battalion. Do keep in mind that this is currently unconfirmed however. Russia will definitely make another attempt on Udachne, so we’ll have to wait and see how the battle for the town develops.
Context
To the south, Russia continued to move through the treelines south of Novoandriivka (mentioned in this update), capturing a little more of them as they move around the village.

Russian Forces Advance: 3.08 km²

Top Advance = 1.08km2, Middle Advance = 2.00km2

Further south on the Kurakhove front, starting at the bottom, Ukraine counterattacked towards Shevchenko, retaking the fields they had lost the week before, and increasing the buffer on the eastern side of Andriivka. At the same time, Russia advanced west of Petropavlivka, capturing a few fields and a treeline as they continue to try flank the main defences around Andriivka. The back and forth here will continue for a while to come, as both sides recognise the importance of the small town.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 1.10 km²

Advance = 1.10km2

Context
Moving to Velyka Novosilka, Russian forces continued their assault of the town, capturing most of the buildings on the eastern side of the Kashlahach River, as well as pushing deeper into the centre of the settlement from the south. As mentioned previously, the situation for the Ukrainian garrison is dire, as their garrison is being picked apart from multiple sides, supplies have been cut off for days, and they’re being forced into a smaller and smaller area as time goes on, with Russia shelling them heavily (couple of TOS videos not on the sub yet).

We do have a bit more information on the garrison, with it mostly being the 110th Mechanised Brigades, as well as some small elements of the Presidential Brigade and the 141st Mechanised Brigade. I mentioned last week that the garrison was likely in the low hundreds, with more Russian and Ukrainian sources also echoing similar numbers today. Some Russian sources do claim that that number is dropping, claiming that a large portion have been killed in the fighting, and are making calls for the remainder to surrender via the southernmost road out of the town.

Theres almost no chance of the garrison being broken out at this stage, as Ukraine just doesn’t have the forces available to try assault Vremivka or Novyi Komar, so surrender is the only realistic option for the garrison if they want to survive.
Russian Forces Advance: 3.83 km²

Middle Left Advance = 2.36km2, Middle Advance = 1.25km2, Bottom Left Advance = 0.22km2

Heading over to the Kupyansk front, in Dvorichna, Russia infantry continue to expand their control around the town, occupying the small forest areas on either side of the southern road. Additionally, some Russian troops have crossed into the forest north of Zapadne, occupying it as they flank the village. A couple of Russian sources claim Russia already controls Zapadne, but most others (as well as Suriyak) say that fighting is ongoing in the vicinity of the settlement. It’ll likely fall within the next few days as the few Ukrainian defenders are driven out.

Slightly south of Zapadne, Russia slightly expanded their control of the treelines along the hill south of Zapadne, having set up there and in the farm to defend the southern flank of the Russian bridgehead (ground slopes down sharply in this area, as there is a stream running into the Oskil here).

For your awareness, Ukraine hasn’t just let this area gradually go out of control, and has tried to counterattack several times, its just these have all failed leading to the loss of several tanks and IFVs. As usual, its an issue of a lack of infantry for Ukraine, and their inability to reinforce the area.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 0.98 km²

Advance = 0.98km2

On the Oskil River front, Russia pushed out slightly from Nadiya (captured 2 days ago), occupying the fields and some of the treelines west of the settlement. They’ll likely continue with this direction of advance, heading southwest in the direction of Russian controlled Kopanky (dot above u).
Russian Forces Advance: 5.54 km²

Middle Left Advance = 3.03km2, Middle Right Advance = 1.01km2, Lower Middle Advance = 1.50km2

Context
Further south on the same front, the situation continues to deteriorate for Ukraine on the west side of the Zherebets River, with Russia continuing to push out on all sides. Russian assault groups continue to move west capturing more fields, treelines and small forest areas, as they expand the buffer around Ivanivka. Theres multiple smaller trench networks along this area, which do not look to be manned by Ukraine, so Russia may be considering seizing them for some forward positions.

To the south, Russia continued moving towards Myrne, taking over the locality of Bilohorivka (long abandoned settlement, no buildings). There are multiple mini trench networks slightly north of the name next to the treelines here, which Russia has taken over and used as cover due to the lack of buildings. This advance is a serious threat for the Ukrainian garrison in Yampolivka, as not only will they lose 1 of their 2 supply routes if Russia captured Myrne, but Russian assault groups could then double back over the Zherebets River and attack Yampolivka from the west, cutting off the only other supply route if they were to capture the houses on the southern side (very bottom of map).
Russian Forces Advance: 1.35 km²

Top Left Advance = 0.68km2, Top Right Advance = 0.37km2, Very Bottom Advance = 0.30km2

Context
Following on from picture 4, Russia expanded the buffer around Kotlyne, capturing a field on the west side, as well as moving through the treelines to the north as they assault the small farm there. There were claims of a Ukrainian counterattack east of Kotlyne, coming from Pokrovsk, but given the lack of information or footage its hard to say if they made any progress, or if it even occurred.
Context
To the south, Russia pushed north of the treeline the captured the previous day, assaulting Novoandriivka from the south side (which I predicted last week). They’ve taken over the first few houses of the village, and due to its small size Ukraine will likely withdraw soon, pulling back to neighbouring Sribne. Russia will then likely try repeat what they did for Novoandriivka, using the southern treeline to get as close to the Sribne as possible.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.56 km²

Advance = 0.56km2

On the southern side of the Kurakhove front, Russia made a minor advance north of Yantarne, capturing a field and treeline.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.26 km²

Advance = 0.26km2

Context
Following on from picture 6, Russia made more progress on the south side of Velyka Novosilka, capturing more of the streets next to the Shaitanka River. Confirming exact control of much more than this is difficult (for all mappers, not just Suriyak), as its quite chaotic due to the town being assaulted from multiple sides, with a garrison that is trapped and can only hunker down.