RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 1119 to 1121 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Russian Forces Advance: 1.09 km²

Advance = 1.09km2

Context

Starting with the Kursk front, which may soon be the Sumy front), Russia is continuing its attacks into Basivka, taking control over more of the western side of the village, inclyding a number of warehouses. Progress here is slow due to the density of drones, and its questionable if Russia even needs to capture Basivka at this point given the original purpose of this was to cut off the supply road to Sudzha from the north. Obviously this is no longer necessary as Kursk has mostly been recaptured, but it seems like Russia intends to control at least a few settlements over the border in Sumy.

Russian Forces Advance: 1.37 km²

Top Advance = 0.36km2, Bottom Advance = 1.01km2

Moving to the Oskil River front, Russia continues to make smaller advances west of the Zherebets River, capturing a few fields north and west of Novolyubivka. Nothing else notable with this area of advance that I haven’t already mentioned before.

Russian Forces Advance: 21.45 km²

Top Right Advance = 6.83km2, Lower Middle Right Advance = 0.59km2, Lower Middle Advance = 1.39km2, Bottom Left Advance = 1.53km2, Bottom Middle Advance = 11.11km2

On the Kurakhove and Velyka Novosilka fronts there has been a lot of activity by both sides, with many attacks and counterattacks being carried out.

Context

Starting with the north side, Russia began to move into the fields and treelines north of Andriivka, clearing out a number of them. At the same time Ukraine launched a smaller counterattack west of the town, retaking some treelines and a trench network that Russian recon troops had taken a few weeks prior. This buys Ukraine some more time to set up the defences in Oleksiivka (next settlement west), although judging by the Russian advance they may intend to circumvent this area altogether to attack from the north.

Context

To the south, in Kostyantynopil there were some interesting developments, with video footage showing at least some Ukrainian soldiers had broken back into the town and takng on positions on the southwestern side. I’m not sure what to make of this one, as we had video evidence that Russia had troops in all parts of Kostyantynopil (so they did capture it), but now we have drone videos being released showing UA troops hiding in some basements at the same time as Russia is shown to be evacuating civilians from the village. Obviously theres a chance these clips were from before Kostyantynopil was captured, however Suriyak doesn’t seem to think so. At the same time as all this Russian recon groups were probing around northeast of Rozlyv, as they prepare for the assault of the settlement.

Context

To the southwest, Russian assault groups cleared out a large area of fields north and northeast of Rozdolne, another part of the preparations for the assault on Rozlyv. The village is quite isolated as its set back from the main road, with only 1 smaller paved road linking it to Kostyantynopil and Bahatyr. If Russia continues pushing north from Rozdolne they could effectively surround Rozlyv and force a retreat back to Bahatyr.

Context

Moving west, another Russian group made a small advance northeast of Burlatske, recapturing part of the fields they lost to a Ukrainian counterattack last week.

Russian Forces Advance: 5.31 km²

Advance = 5.31km2

In Kursk, Russian forces continue to clear out the last remnants of Ukraine’s forces, moving down along the southern supply road and taking over several positions in the treelines north of it. They have also reportedly made further progress in Gogolevka, with the front pushed back far enough that civilian cars have been driving through western Rubanshchina to check out the damage, however we haven’t had any geolocations from Gogolevka in a few days so Suriyak has held off on updating the map.

As I mentioned last post, Ukraine has kept some of its forces in Kursk in the border areas around Oleshnya and Gornal to try stall Russia and buy time for them to rest and reorganise their forces that retreated from Kursk. This means for the remaining parts of Kursk Russia has had to transition back to its usual slow assault style of advance involving heavy bombardment and lots of drones.

Russian Forces Advance: 1.75 km²

Top Right Advance = 1.18km2, Upper Middle Advance = 0.57km2

In Toretsk, a Russian recon group headed north of the town via Krymske, taking over the treelines and part of the dirt road at they headed for the resort next to the ‘ponds’. This is quite the interesting advance, as Russia sending troops out around Toretsk to probe for future advances would imply that the situation in the town itself is more stable than previously reported. Unfortunately I do not have any updates for the fighting within Toretsk, aside from confirming Ukraine is still trying to pump more infiltration groups into the town, which is not going well. From some Ukrainian sources reports they claim that Russia has recovered/regrouped from the initial infiltrations and are starting to push back heavily with new forces, although theres no footage confirming this yet.

At the same time as this, to the northeast Russian forces have become quite active next to the canal, following the small infantry group advance we saw in this area last week. A Russian assault group has crossed the canal and cleared out a number of smaller trenches and dugouts in the area, pushing about 1.4km west. This will be on some concern for Ukraine, as it indicates Russia might finally be making a push to capture the fields and villages west of the canal and north of Toretsk, which have so far been left alone as the fighting within Chasiv Yar (to the north) and Toretsk have been a higher priority.

Russian Forces Advance: 1.20 km²

Advance = 1.20km2

Context

On the north side of the Kupyansk front, Russian troops continue to move through the forest area west of Kamyanka after their crossing a few days ago. As I mentioned/predicted last post, Russia is likely trying to cut of or encircle the garrison in Kamyanka by making crossings on either side and advance through the forests. If this Russian group moves just 1km further north, they’ll gain control over Kamyanka’s main (but not only) supply road.

Russian Forces Advance: 1.13 km²

Advance = 1.13km2

Context

Heading down to the Pokrovsk front, over the past few days Russian assault groups drove out the last remnants of the Ukrainian forces (video 1, video 2, video 3) that had counterattacked into Shevchenko starting last week, recapturing the town. Like with the counterattack into Pishchane a few weeks prior, this one was also carried out the 425th Assault Regiment “Skala” and ran into the exact same problems. The Ukrainian assault groups had good initial success in their mechanised assaults in both counterattacks, but once Russian drones and artillery started working on their troops, equipment and supply transports they quickly ran out of steam. In both cases Ukraine did not have the ability to sustain these attacks like the Russians do, meaning despite making decent progress they could not hold on for long and were forced back.

If Ukraine intends to continue counterattacking around Pokrovsk they need to resolve these issues so that either they commit more heavily to a counterattack to secure the gains they make, or carry out smaller ones where far fewer soldiers are involved. As is they are both losing a lot of troops and equipment but not maintaining control over whatever they gain, being driven back quickly.

Russian Forces Advance: 3.33 km²

Advance = 3.33km2

On the Zaporizhia front, Russian assault groups continue to press the attack, capturing a number of fields and treelines along the northern road, as well as most of the remaining houses in Stepove. Ukraine is counterattacking here from the northwest, however they have yet to make any progress in driving Russia back.

Ukrainian Forces Advance: 1.78 km²

Advance = 1.78km2

Back to the northern side of the Kupyansk front, this time in Dvorichna. A small Ukrainian assault group reportedly broke back into the town, recapturing the houses on the western side. They made their way here from Kutkivka through the dense forest, which Russia hasn’t tried to clear so far (focusing southwest and north). I’ll also note that this advance is contradicted by other reports from sources stating Russia made a minor advance in the same area, so the situation isn’t entirely clear.

Russian Forces Advance: 1.82 km²

Middle Advance = 0.38km2, Right Advance = 0.22km2, Top Right Advance = 1.22km2

Following on from picture 5, in Toretsk, Russian troops recaptured the Krymske mine complex. This advance almost certainly occurred prior to the one seen in picture 5, however evidence for that advance was released prior to this one, hence the order of updates. With the Krymske mine back under Russian control they push west and begin clearing the north side of Toretsk of the Ukrainian infiltrations groups.

To the east, Russian forces near the canal continue to advance, taking over several fields and treelines south of the advance the previous day, as well as starting to move north out of the village of Druzhba. Dachne and Dyliivka are the likely targets of this new series of attacks, although those are a ways off as there are many trench networks and defence positions inbetween Russia and those villages they will need to clear.

Russian Forces Advance: 0.24 km²

Advance = 0.24km2

On the far eastern side of the Pokrovsk front, the first Russian assault group entered Tarasivka, taking over a couple of houses on the southern side. Russia has sat outside Tarasivka for weeks now, but due to a reinforced Ukrainian garrison they have had to spend time weakening them with drones and artillery (video 1, video 2, video 3) before they could successfully gain a foothold. The battle for the village will be slow due to said garrison, so don’t expect any quick advances here.

Russian Forces Advance: 1.33 km²

Advance = 1.33km2

Context

Following on from picture 8, Russian troops from Pyatykhatky crossed the small stream north and moved into the first buildings of Lobkove. For now they’ve only taken over the rubble on the southern side, but are attacking into the main section of the village now. Lobkove is the last settlement Russia needs to take before it has recaptured all the villages lost during the 2023 Ukrainian counteroffensive.

Ukrainian Forces Advance: 4.46 km²

Top Middle Advance = 3.33km2, Upper Middle Right Advance = 1.13km2,