RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 1128 to 1130 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Kicking this update off in Kursk, over the past few days of clashes in Gogolevka with Ukrainian rearguard troops, Russian forces managed to capture the rest of the village, before quickly moving through the treelines and small forested areas along the Oleshnya River.

With Goglevka under control, Russian troops were able to move onto the famous Kursk-Sumy border checkpoint. Whilst a few scattered Ukrainian soldiers were hiding in the area (such as this), there was no attempt at defending the checkpoint by Ukraine, allowing for Russia to move in and capture it. All that remains of this section of Kursk is Oleshnya and the surrounding treelines, which are currently being attacked/cleared by Russia. If any surviving Ukrainian soldiers are in this area, they will certainly be looking to retreat deeper into Sumy before they are overrun or wiped out.

On the Oskil River front, continuing on from the previous update, Russian assault groups are pushing on with their deep attacks to the northwest, capturing several more forested areas and reaching the outskirts of Katerynivka. Whilst Nove is the primary target for Russia in this area, taking Katerynivka first will provide them with a good staging point for attacks on the small town. This push between the two settlements also makes it more awkward for Ukraine to defend Katerynivka, as their main garrison is based Nove and will have to travel further around if they wish to reinforce Katerynivka.

To the east, whilst the above attack was occurring, a separate set of Russian troops cleared out the last Ukrainian positions next to the Zherebets River, as well as some of the forest areas and treelines west of it. With this advance Russia can now focus on straightening the frontline with a push west to help secure the eastern flank of their spearhead.

To the south, following their capture of Yampolivka a few weeks ago, Russian troops have become active once again and have started to move south of the village, taking control over several fields and treelines. They will be looking to begin attacks on Torske from the north(settlement east side of the river) and hoping to have better luck than previous Russian attacks on that town from the east. I’ll also mention some Russian sources say at least 1 group crossed the river and took Myrne (which was undefended), although I can’t confirm this information.

In Chasiv Yar, Russian troops made a minor advance south of Stupochky, taking over a treeline and some defensive positions. Both sides remain locked in a kind of staredown around Stupochky, with Ukraine holding positions in the village and refusing to counterattack, whilst Russia is also not attacking the settlement and is trying to move around the sides whilst they bombard the garrison.

Heading to the Pokrovsk front, starting on the north side, over the past couple of weeks Ukraine has been counterattacking towards Kotlyne for the second time. They’ve managed to clear out the surrounding treelines and taken over the northern streets, and are currently trying to push across the railway line. Whilst Ukraine’s first counterattack into Kotlyne was pushed out in February, this one looks to be much better organised, so they may be able to retake the entire village this time.

To the south, over the past couple of days Russian forces have made their way from Sribne through the treelines and fields to the southwest, heading for Bohdanivka. They haven’t attempted to attack the village yet, but its only a matter of time.

Moving to the west side of the Zaporizhia front, following their capture of Mali Shcherbaky the previous day, Russian forces launched a small mechanised attack into neighbouring Shcherbaky, dropping off troops in the centre of the village. These troops will likely be expanding their control now, so we may see the rest of the village cleared within days.

The Ukrainian garrison of Mali Shcherbaky and Shcherbaky has been absolutely beaten, with Russia constantly hitting them with drones and artillery before their assault groups moved in. Any survivors will likely retreat back to the Ukrainian defence line 2.8km north of the villages.

Following on from picture 1, with Gogolevka and the border checkpoint captured, Russia has moved onto clearing the fields and treelines both around Basivka (in Sumy) and east of Oleshnya. With the latter, some Russian sources claim they are already present in the village, whilst others state that they are only just now moving in to clear it. We should have clarification soon though.

To the southeast, after the map correction in the previous update after Ukraine was confirmed to still be present in some parts of Guevo, further footage has come out showing Russian troops in the forest areas north of the village and also holding positions in the northern streets (video not posted to sub). The latter video also shows that Russia is shelling the old refinery, which is the last major defensive point Ukraine holds in Guevo. Once again, some sources claim Russia is already assaulting this area, whilst others state that assaults will begin within a day or two.

Going over to the northern side of the Kupyansk front, the Russian infantry that crossed the Oskil River northeast of Dvorichna have continued to expand their foothold, taking over more of the forest as well as the village of Krasne Pershe. Reports indicate the settlement was seized quite easily as Ukraine’s garrison in the area was quite small and fell back once attacks began. With Krasne Pershe under control Russia can link the Dvorichna bridgehead to this foothold if they clear the few treelines/forest areas south of this advance.

Following on from picture 2, Russian troops expanded their spearhead towards Nove, taking over 2 more trench networks. There is only 1 more trench network (just west of the tip of the spearhead) in this area before Russia can assault Nove directly, and given how quickly the others have been captured it will likely fall within the next couple of days.

Moving to the Pokrovsk front once again, starting on the north side, Russian troops made a minor advance in the centre of Lysivka. Fighting over the village has been a constant back and forth since it first began months ago, so I do not expect much to come out of this.

To the southwest, Russian troops that made the advance mentioned in picture 4 continued heading west, reaching the outskirts of Bohdanivka. They are currently assaulting the village and we should receive further updates within the next couple of days.

To the southeast, Russia cleared out another couple of fields and treelines in a small Ukrainian pocket, as the gradually straighten the front line in this area.

North of Velyka Novosilka, over the past few days Russian assault groups on both sides of the Mokri Yaly River advanced towards Vesele. The troops on the east side of the river first moved out of Dniproenerhiya and captured the forest areas adjacent to Vesele, before the troops on the west side pushing up the main road and established a small foothold in the southern side of the town.

The east side of the river sits ever so slightly higher than the west side here, so Russian troops in those forest areas will be able to provide some fire support to the soldiers assaulting the village itself. They may also try to cross over the river on the northeastern side of Vesele to flank the garrison, as the river is quite thin here.

Heading back to Sumy, near the border the Russian troops that entered Veselivka a few days prior were confirmed to have captured the remainder of the small village. This group will likely be looking to move towards Vodolahy (southwest), however it’s a bit further from the border than Veselivka so will be more difficult to establish a foothold.

Following on from picture 7, Russian assault groups made a large series of advances in different areas over the past 2 days. Starting with the northeast side, the Russian troops in Topoli finally moved out, heading northwest to clear out the forest area adjacent to the village. The remaining portion of this area will likely be cleared within the next couple of days.

To the south, a separate set of Russian infantry have expanded the foothold east of Kamyanka, taking over more treelines, fields, and the area next to the Oskil River. They’ve also reached the outskirts of southern Kamyanka, so could try assault the small town now. Otherwise they will likely try clear the remaining forest areas north of this advance, before heading northwest over the road to cut Kamyanka off.

On the opposite side of Kamyanka, the Russian troops that captured Krasne Pershe in picture 7 have cleared out the remainder of the larger forest area north of the village. This puts them in a position to cross the road into the other forest areas north, cutting Kamyanka off from the west. If combined with the advance described in the previous paragraph, Russia could entirely encircle Kamyanka. Ukraine’s garrison would likely retreat from the town before that happened however, so this would mostly just be to speed up its capture.

Further south, Russian troops also cleared out the remaining treelines and forested areas south of Krasne Pershe. As I mentioned under picture 7, this now links Dvorichna with this larger foothold, so Russia can start moving troops and supplies between the areas depending on where they wish to advance first.

On the south side of the Toretsk front, over the past 3 days Russia has secured Panteleimonivka and expanded their control of the fields east of Sukha Balka. As I mentioned last post, Russia is likely preparing to assault Valentynivka and Sukha Balka, which could come from either the south, east or both. Ukraine does have a lot of defences in this area, however depending on how well they are manned they might end up helping the Russians as we have seen on other fronts.

Back to the Pokrovsk front once again, this time focusing on the west side of the front. In Uspenivka, Russian assault groups have taken over the western side of the village after several days of fighting. Whilst it may look like Russia now controls Uspenivka, I would hesitate to say the battle is over as both Russia and Ukraine have been in this position before, only for the other to suddenly breach back into the settlement. Russia will need to secure the adjacent fields and treelines before they can truly say they have captured the village.

Moving southwest, we get to the event that caused quite a stir on Saturday. A Russian mechanised group, including 2 tanks operating independently, dashed past the front line, circumventing Preobrazhenka. These vehicles made significant progress in pushing west of Russia’s existing positions, with one Russian tank shrugging off numerous FPV hits and missed by several ATGMs, before eventually being disabled to the southwest of Kotlyarivka. The rest of the group made more moderate gains, dropping off troops in the treelines south of Kotlyarivka. At the same time as all this, Russian infantry captured most of the remaining area of the tree plantation, as they also move towards Kotlyarivka.

This advance threatens both Kotlyarivka and Preobrazhenka, with Russian troops now much closer to both villages and also in a position to completely cut off Preobrazhenka. If Ukraine does not counterattack then Russia will be able to consolidate these gains, which would likely lead to the loss of those settlements and Russia reaching Dnipro Oblast for the first time (3km away from the tip of that push).

On the Kurakhove and Velyka Novosilka fronts, we’re also seeing lots of movement in different areas. Starting on the northeast side, Russian assault groups entered Rozlyv from the east, taking up positions in the first houses. Heavy clashes are ongoing as they push further into the settlement. Russia had been closing in on Rozlyv from multiple sides, including moving in from the southwest, however it looks like Russian command believed they have spent enough time preparing and went for an assault from the east anyway.

Southwest, a separate Russian group operating north of Velyka Novosilka made some large gains, capturing a number of fields and treelines as they gradually move towards Odradne. That village is a ways off so it will take them some time to reach it even at this pace.

Heading west, Russian troops in Burlatske pushed out of the village and recaptured the fields to the north, which they had lost to a Ukrainian counterattack 2 weeks prior. They will likely continue expanding the buffer around the settlement, but could then either join other troops in the assault on Vesele, or move west to hit Shevchenko.

Following on from picture 5, Russian assault groups cleared the rest of Shcherbaky, confirming full control of the village. They’ll need to expand the buffer around both settlements before they can consider moving on, so they’ll likely try capturing the adjacent fields and treelines in the coming days. Once they’ve done so it will be quite interesting to see where they push next, as there are several options which will shape the way this front goes over the next 6 months.