RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 1368 to 1370 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Russian Forces Advance: 4.01 km²

Middle Right Advance = 0.63km2, Bottom Advance = 4.01km2

Starting off today we’re on the Kupyansk front, where over the last 2 weeks Ukraine has continued counterattacking in all areas. Whilst a wide variety of claims have been made, the only confirmable information we have is that Ukraine managed to resecure the village of Sadove, which has been in the greyzone since Russian DRGs reached it at the beginning of the month.

To the northeast, Russia made slightly more progress in eastern Kupyansk, capturing more of the industrial area up to the central road, but their forces have primarily been on the defence due to all the Ukrainian attacks. The battle looks like it will drag on for a lot longer as neither side is making much progress right now.

Russian Forces Advance: 2.29 km²

Advance = 2.29km2

Down on the Oskil River front, in an unexpected move, Russian assault groups that were heading southwest towards Novoplatonivka made a sudden push northwest to Bohuslavka, taking over some treelines and entering the first houses of the village. If they are able to consolidate here and capture the village it will create a mini pocket around Nova Kruhlyakivka and more importantly improve Russian positions for the eventual push on Borova.

Russian Forces Advance: 2.82 km²

Upper Left Advance = 0.58km2, Bottom Advance = 2.24km2

Moving onto the Lyman and Siversk fronts, on the northwest side, after taking control of Yampil a couple of days prior Russian forces have moved south of the town, aiming to capture the Ukrainian fortifications between them and Ozerne (blue dot above S).

To the southeast, Russian assault groups cleared the remainder of Zvanivka and captured the village, securing the southern flank of Pokrovsk. Their attention has now turned to neighbouring Sviato-Pokrovske (video 1, video 2), north of which runs one of the last supply routes for Siversk.

Russian Forces Advance: 4.44 km²

Top Advance = 0.05km2, Upper Middle Advance = 0.59km2, Bottom Left Advance = 3.80km2

Heading to Kostyantynivka, Russian troops are continuing to slowly improve their positions right on the edge of the city, capturing a couple more houses on the east side and some of the houses and warehouses between the city and Ivanopillya.

To the southwest, after a long pause Russian forces restarted offensives operations along the Pokrovsk-Kostyantynivka highway, capturing several trench networks and treelines south of Stepanivka.

Russian Forces Advance: 2.74 km²

Top Advance = 0.10km2, Left Advance = 1.74km2, Middle Advance = 0.90km2

Over in Pokrovsk, on the north side of the city, Russian assault groups took control of the last of the dachas, meaning all of Pokrovsk is under Russian control. Ukraine is still constantly counterattacking however, so the formal announcement won’t come until after Russia has secured the city surroundings and stopped Ukraine from breaking back in.

To the east, Russian troops have increased their efforts to enter Myrnohrad from the Pokrovsk side, advancing up the railway line and reaching the first houses on the west side of the city.

To the north, heavy clashes continue in Rodynske, with Russian forces able to retake a couple of apartment buildings. Ukraine has been counterattacking aggressively here for almost a month now and despite earlier successes they have run out of steam and are being pushed out of the town.

Ukrainian Forces Advance: 25.34 km²

Upper Left Advance = 2.70km2, Bottom Left Advance = 25.34km2

Onto the Pokrovske and Hulyaipole fronts, on the northwest side Ukraine has continued their counterattacks after the arrival of reinforcements last week, pushing back into the recently lost village of Hai and forcing the Russians out before they could properly secure it. Clashes are ongoing as Russia is trying to push back in again.

To the south, the localised collapse around Hulyaipole continues, with Russian forces taking over a large area of fields between the Yanchur and Haichur rivers, as well as the village of Nove Zaporizhzhya. Ukrainian troops are falling back behind the Haichur River to the fortification line on the other side or to Hulyaipole, leaving large areas of mostly undefended territory for Russian troops to push through.

Russian Forces Advance: 10.17 km²

Advance = 10.17km2

South of the previous picture, Russian assault groups captured the village of Zelenyi Hai and half of Vysoke, after entering both the previous day. Ukraine did send some reinforcements to this area, but a lack of coordination and virtually undefended flanks made it easy for the Russians to outmanoeuvre the Ukrainians and overwhelm them. The survivors have fled back into Hulyaipole, where they are trying to prepare their defences and for the imminent battle.

Russian Forces Advance: 1.07 km²

Advance = 1.07km2

Back up to the Lyman front, Russian assault groups moved into the farm west of the village, capturing some warehouses. Ukraine has been launching counterattacks here so Stavky is still contested and the battle is not over yet.

Russian Forces Advance: 2.97 km²

Advance = 2.97km2

On the far southern side of the Siversk front, Russia reactivated part of the frontline between Fedorivka and Vasyukivka, with their assault groups taking over the eastern half of the latter village. This is the area I mentioned in a comment on my previous post as being static for several years, so it seems the Russians agree and want to restart operations here.

A little north of the advance some Russian troops reportedly moved along the treelines west of Fedorivka and reached the village of Pazeno. This is only a small group that hasn’t consolidated yet, but it should concern Ukraine that these infantry were able to walk 5km across an area with minimal cover and enter the village uncontested. We’ll have to wait and see if the Russians can capture it and if this front has been reactivated or if this was just a blip and advances cease.

Russian Forces Advance: 2.26 km²

Advance = 2.26km2

Northeast of Pokrovsk, Russian assault groups cleared and captured most of the remainder of Shakhove, with the last houses being swept now. Ukraine may continue to send infantry groups from Sofiivka to contest the town, but without a larger push they won’t be able to stall for long. After all the failed mechanised assaults to take Shakhove they ended up capturing it with a small number of infantry under the cover of bad weather.

Russian Forces Advance: 3.07 km²

Top Advance = 0.23km2, Middle Right Advance = 0.24km2, Lower Middle Advance = 0.04km2, Bottom Advance = 0.40km2, Very Bottom Advance = 2.16km2

Following on from picture 5, on the north side, Russian assault groups recaptured more of Rodynsk, pushing Ukraine back to only a few of the western apartment blocks.

Southeast, the Russians advanced in both southern and eastern Myrnohrad, continuing to clear the city block by block

Russian Forces Advance: 16.92 km²

Top Advance = 7.28km2, Upper Left Advance = 9.64km2

Following on from picture 6, on the north side, Russian assault groups moved up along the treelines from Oleksiivka and captured the village of Tykhe. Their control of the settlement is quite fragile given the few troops they have present and its proximity to the large town of Kolomiitsi, but for now it looks like the Ukrainians do not plan to contest it. Russia may try assault Kolomiitsi in the coming week to try get a foothold on the other side of the Vovcha River.

To the southwest, Russia recaptured the village of Hai after driving out the Ukrainians who counterattacked. Other assault groups captured the treelines and fields in the surrounding area, before pushing into and capturing Vidradne. From here they can continue to push west to assault the villages of Andriivka and Ostapivske, which would also cut off the Ukrainian troops that counterattacked back into Danylivka.

Russian Forces Advance: 3.36 km²

Advance = 3.36km2

Moving onto the Orikhiv front, over the past week Russia launched a new attempt to take Novodanylivka, moving up the treelines south of the village and entering the southern houses. No consolidation has taken place yet, but Ukraine is having to split its forces between counterattacking in Mala Tokmachka (to prevent Russia capturing it) and defending Novodanylivka.

Ukrainian Forces Advance: 4.78 km²

Top Left Advance = 4.78km2, Left Advance = 0.82km2

Heading out to the far western side of the Zaporizhia front, as I discussed in my last post there has been a long slog of ‘wack-a-mole’ taking place in Prymorske and Stepnohirsk, as infantry try to infiltrate different areas and drone teams work to stamp them out. On the northwest side, Ukraine resecured central Prymorske after earlier Russian DRG infiltrations.

To the southeast, Russia captured the last of the dachas in southern Prymorske and a stretch of the E105 highway west of Stepnohirsk. With Ukrainian units within Stepnohirsk under a lot of pressure and pinned down by constant drone attacks Russia has moved to try encircle or cut them off, sending a few groups up the highway to the west of the town and over the river on the east side. If successful Russia will be able to prevent further reinforcements and rotations from reaching Stepnohirsk and allow them to gradually bomb/drone out the remaining garrison.

Russian Forces Advance: 12.23 km²

Advance = 12.23km2

Back to the Kupyansk front, this time out east where Ukraine has continued counterattacking and driven Russia back to Stepova Novoselivka. This undoes the Russian advances in this particular area over the past month and eases the pressure on the eastern side of the Kupyansk pocket.

Russian Forces Advance: 1.06 km²

Advance = 1.06km2

Back to the Siversk front, Russia has entered the town in another place, with an assault group moving into the houses on the northeast side. Clashes are ongoing across the settlement but Ukraine no longer holds the surrounding defences and is unable to stop the Russians from moving in.

Russian Forces Advance: 1.10 km²

Advance = 1.10km2

Following on from picture 8, over the past week Russian forces have managed to secure the easternmost district of Lyman and are trying to move further into the town. Some sources claim Russia is much further into Lyman than shown here, but due to OPSEC and a lack of footage this cannot be confirmed. At the very least the Russians do have a solid presence right outside the town and are actively trying to expand their foothold.

Russian Forces Advance: 9.03 km²

Top Advance = 2.63km2, Bottom Left Advance = 6.40km2

Following on from picture 10, on the north side, Russia recaptured some of the treelines and fields east of Sofiivka, once again putting them outside the settlement. It is hard to tell if they will be able to assault it this time as Ukraine does have a number of units in this area, so any push will be difficult.

To the southwest, following Ukrainian counterattacks a few weeks ago Russian forces have managed to stop their push and recapture a number of fields, treelines and most of Zatyshok. Ukraine’s attention in this specific area has been put on Rodynske as they were unable to reach Boikivka and Fedorivka with their attacks.

Russian Forces Advance: 12.38 km²

Top Advance = 0.51km2, Upper Right Advance = 2.61km2, Top Right Advance = 0.61km2, Middle Right Advance = 3.41km2, Far Left Advance = 5.24km2

Following on from picture 11, on the northeast side, Russian troops captured more of Myrnohrad, inching closer towards the centre of the city.

To the west, Suriyak claims the Russians have properly closed the pocket and now have a physical encirclement of Myrnohrad by capturing the houses and one of the farms along the road north out of the cities. Whilst I disagree and believe some of this should be greyzone (as there is clearly a gap in troop presence), the pocket has certainly shrunk and Ukrainian forces inside are running out of room and places to hide.

Down south, Russia cleared some of the empty fields and fortifications on the east side of Pokrovsk, working to shrink the pocket further.

Out west, whilst fighting continues in the coking coal mine, other Russian groups have been working to secure some of the fields and treelines in the surrounding area, possibly to cut off any other Ukrainian groups from reaching the mine.

Russian Forces Advance: 26.53 km²

Advance = 26.53km2

Following on from picture 7, with any remaining Ukrainian soldiers fleeing back to Hulyaipole to avoid being overrun their positions outside the town collapsed. Over the span of two days Russian assault groups captured the remainder of Vysoke, took control of the village of Zatshshya, and secured the large area of fields, treelines and fortifications up to the outskirts of Hulyaipole.

Whilst some sources claim Russian DRGs and assault groups are already in Hulyaipole we will need to wait a little bit for that to be confirmed. As of right now Ukraine’s defences are a mess and their unit coordination is non-existent, so the Russian assault will likely have no issues securing the initial foothold. Depending on how many Ukrainian troops stick around and don’t abandon their positions the battle could last for over a month or end in a week. The Haichur River splits Hulyaipole into two, but won’t be much of an issue for Russia to cross given its width and their existing positions on both sides.