RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 1405 to 1407 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Russian Forces Advance: 1.94 km²

Advance = 1.94km2

Starting on the Lyman front for once, over the past week Russia captured the remainder of Dibrova, establishing full control over the village. If they are able to bring more troops into this area and push south and southwest they will be able to reach the Siverskyi Donets River, cutting off any remaining Ukrainians in Ozerne (above the S).

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Russian Forces Advance: 1.33 km²

Advance = 1.33km2

Down on the Siversk front, Russia continues to make steady progress, capturing some more treelines southwest of Vasyukivka.

Russian Forces Advance: 9.87 km²

Advance = 9.87km2

Swinging on over to the Hulyaipole, with the town under their control the Russian units to the south have begun to mop up the fields and fortifications around the locality, capturing a good chunk of them and securing the road down to Dorzhnyanka (slightly off map south).

On another note, north of here Ukraine launched an aggressive mechanised attack during a short blizzard that blanketed much of Ukraine a few days ago. The Ukrainian force/s (unclear if 2 separate groups or one bigger one that got split up) crossed the Haichur River somewhere between Dobropillya and Varvarivka, ignoring the villages to push deep to the east towards Rivnopillya. It is unclear if these troops got lost in the blizzard or pushing that far was always the intention, but the column was spotted and struck by drones (also this), with the surviving infantry being picked off as they fled into the treelines (video 1, video 2). Russia even claims to have captured some of the Ukrainian infantry who surrendered.

Russian Forces Advance: 3.88 km²

Advance = 3.88km2

Back to the Lyman front, during the battles for the forest around Yarova, at least one Russian assault group managed to push west and enter Sosnove, where clashes began with the Ukrainian garrison. I disagree with Suriyak’s mapping here, as whilst the settlements in this area are clearly under either Russian or Ukrainian control, most of the forest should be marked greyzone due to soldiers moving in and out of the area with no clear line of contact.

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Russian Forces Advance: 1.44 km²

Advance = 1.44km2

Back to the Siversk front, over the past four or five days Russian troops have had some success in their assault on Riznykivka, capturing most of the eastern houses.

Whilst not addressed by Suriyak here, I’ll mention that there was another aggressive mechanised counterattack by Ukraine during the short blizzard a few days back, with their force barrelling through Riznykivka and deep into Sviato-Pokrovske. Judging by the little footage we have, the attack failed, with the vehicles being destroyed and most of the surviving infantry picked off by drones. It is possible some may have escaped into the basements of nearby houses, but without further reinforcement or evacuation there is not much these troops will be able to achieve.

Ukrainian Forces Advance: 4.85 km²

Advance = 4.85km2

North of Pokrovsk, Ukraine recaptured one of the pig farms and adjacent fields yet again during the ongoing back and forth.

Russian Forces Advance: 2.12 km²

Advance = 2.12km2

Heading to the Zaporizhia front, over the past few days Russian forces captured the solar farm and nearby fortifications northeast of Stepnohirsk. Other groups moved further out to the north and northeast, with Russia claiming they also captured Lukyanivske (orange dot), but this has not been confirmed yet.

To the west, Russian DRG operations have expanded significantly in Prymorske, with these groups pushing much further north through the town and out east through the treelines. These movements point towards a breakdown in the Ukrainian defence of the area after months of drone harassment and may even indicate their command has withdrawn the infantry to more defensible positions further north.

Russian Forces Advance: 6.44 km²

Bottom Left Advance = 0.50km2, Lower Left Advance = 5.19km2, Bottom Middle Advance = 0.75km2

Moving up to the Sumy front, the renewed Russian push has had further successes, with their troops recapturing Andriivka, seizing a number of treelines around Oleksiivka and also making a smaller advance south of Yablunivka.

Russia is closing in on where they were back at the beginning of June 2025, before Ukraine pulled its units away from Tetkino and launched their small counteroffensive. The strategic effects and way the battles could play out will be almost identical to what I spoke about back then, but we will have to see if Russia can succeed this time or if the front becomes inactive once again.

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Russian Forces Advance: 2.58 km²

Advance = 2.58km2

Out east on the same front, a small Russian force crossed the border near Milaevka, capturing one of the forest areas on the Ukrainian side. Interestingly, this is the area where Ukraine lost several pieces of mechanised equipment in December, which was unusual due to there seemingly being no reason for them to be out here. Now that we’ve got reports that Russia has made a small crossing here, it begs the question of whether the Ukrainian Mechanised Brigade was trying to launch their own crossing (hence the vehicle use), or were trying to stop the Russian from doing so.

Russian Forces Advance: 1.13 km²

Advance = 1.13km2

Onto the Northern front, Russia continues to chug away at Vovchanski Khutory over the past couple of weeks, making a small bit of progress in the western houses of the village. Most Russian units on this front are focused on the push south, but the few involved in this east advance are making slow but steady progress.

Russian Forces Advance: 0.54 km²

Upper Middle Advance = 0.54km2

Moving to Kupyansk, somehow the chaotic situation in the town has devolved further. Suriyak has made a correction on the west side of the locality, showing Russia in control of more of the houses near the Oskil River.

Out east, Ukraine reportedly made further progress around Kucherivka, recapturing more of the forest and a small section of the industrial area.

However out west several Russian soldiers were spotted walking in the open in Moskovka, which theoretically was several kilometres behind Ukrainian lines in an area they claim to have cleared. Several Ukrainian sources have claimed this was due to the Russians using a tunnel or pipe to reach the area, but I’m not so sure that is the case. The other option is that Ukraine never cleared many of these areas during their counterattacks, leaving pockets of Russian troops all throughout the area and no solid control over much of Kupyansk.

I would argue that due to the chaos, lack of clear frontlines and mixed presence much of Kupyansk and the surrounding area should be marked greyzone, as it is clear Ukraine does not have solid control. But for now Suriyak has decided to leave only some sections as white/greyzone and update the others when information pops up.

Russian Forces Advance: 0.64 km²

Advance = 0.64km2

Over on the Orikhiv front, a small number of Russian troops moved back into Bilohirya, taking up positions through the southern half of the village. Russia has sat outside this locality for several years now, unable to take proper control of it due to a lack of positions and because they did not intend to advance from this area.

This could just be another instance of the latter, with Russia to withdraw in a few days to a week, but there is always the chance that they may intend to continue pushing out this time.

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Russian Forces Advance: 5.19 km²

Upper Middle Advance = 2.94km2, Middle Advance = 2.25km2

Following on from picture 3, Russia has further expanded the buffer around Hulyaipole, taking over more of the fields and treelines south and west of the town. The first Russian troops also reached Zaliznychne, but were driven out by Ukraine before they could establish a foothold.

Russia has already begun shelling the settlement and hitting vehicles travelling in or out of the area, aiming to repeat their success in Hulyaipole (just on a smaller scale). For Ukraine its critical they hold Zaliznychne, as it’s loss would allow Russia to push out along the first Zaporizhia fortification line (like these units have done for the past 4 months) and also head north to break through the 2nd line.

Russian Forces Advance: 6.42 km²

Left Advance = 4.41km2, Middle Advance = 2.01km2

Following on from picture 7, with Ukraine no longer contesting parts of Prymorske Russia has been able to move forward their regular units, taking over more streets and some fields on the southern half of the town. There was also an expansion of greyzone north of Stepnohirsk, as Russian DRGs are once again facing minimal resistance and spreading out through the area.

To the east, Russia capture some more fortifications between the solar farm and Lukyanivske, with more troops moving into the latter. Whilst the village has not 100% been confirmed to be under Russian control, it is only a matter of time given the poor Ukrainian defence of the area.

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Ukrainian Forces

Upper Right Advance =2.74 km2

From picture 11