RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 1508 to 1517 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Russian Forces Advance: 33.25 km²

Top Advance = 6.89km2, Upper Middle Advance = 10.02km2, Middle Advance = km2, Lower Middle Advance = 2.38km2, Bottom Advance = 13.96km2

Starting today off in the Sumy border area, where Russia has further ramped up their operations. Over the past week there have been additional advances on the north side, where Russia has reportedly pushed up and into Myropillya, about a third of which now sits in the greyzone. There were also some reported movements a little south of here, with some troops crossing over the international border from Popovka, taking over some treelines southeast of Myropillya. Whilst Russia has been targeting Myropillya for some time, I have not personally seen any evidence of Russian assault groups in the town yet, so cannot comment on any progress or how the battle will develop.

A little to the south, a different Russian group crossed over south of Popovka and captured two small forest areas next to the farm of Prokhody.

Going south once again, Russian assault groups have moved deeper into the forest east of Novodmytrivka and have now reached the outskirts of the village. It is difficult to judge the defences around the village due to the density of tree cover, but neither side has a lot of forces available when compared to the main frontline in Kharkiv, Donetsk or Zaporizhia.

Russian Forces Advance: 3.04 km²

Top Left Advance = 1.08km2, Upper Right Advance = 1.96km2

Moving to the northern front, on the far northwestern side Russian troops crossed the border in a new area, with a few small groups moving into and beginning to clear Veterynarne. Like most border settlements it was not defended by any infantry, only border drone units from afar, so it will not take long for Russia to capture it.

Out southeast, Russia cleaned up the last houses in Vovchanski Khutory through April, capturing the locality, with any last remnants of the Ukrainian garrison falling back to neighbouring Pokalyane.

Context

No Advance

Onto the Kupyansk front, Russia continues making attempts to infiltrate Kivsharivka, with no noticeable change in territorial control.

Ukrainian Forces Advance: 2.27 km²

Advance = 2.27km2

Down to the Oskil River front, through mid-April Russia launched some small attacks towards Hrekivka, recapturing some treelines east of the village.

Russian Forces Advance: 2.60 km²

Left Advance = 1.34km2, Bottom Left Advance = 1.26km2

Heading to the Siversk front, Russian assault groups captured some of the trench systems next to Kalenyky, whilst other DRGs worked to try flank Kryva Luka which is now at threat of being functionally encircled.

A little to the south some other Russian infantry groups captured some treelines east of Rai-Oleksandrivka, as Russia gradually closes in on the locality.

Russian Forces Advance: 20.88 km²

Advance = 20.88km2

Moving to the Pokrovske front, through April Russia launched a series of counterattacks against the Ukrainian pocket east of the Vovcha River, reportedly retaking a large portion of fields and the village of Oleksandrohrad.

This settlement has been a bit of an enigma for months now, as there has been no consensus on who controlled it, nor did it seem to matter as virtually nothing occurred here. Suriyak reported it as being Ukrainian controlled after their counterattacks last year, but given the lack of almost any Ukrainian activity here in many months, nor any Russian movements until now, if they did control Oleksandrohrad it was with a skeleton garrison that was not projecting any control and thus weren’t a priority for either side to deal with.

Some Russian troops have allegedly crossed the Vovcha River and has resumed clashed in the forest east of Lisne, but I doubt much will come of this unless they make a concerted effort at a crossing with multiple units.

Ukrainian Forces Advance: 11.70 km²

Left Advance = 6.60km2, Right Advance = 5.10km2

Swinging over to the Zaporizhia front, Ukraine continued its counterattacks that began several weeks ago, restoring control over the greyzone around Lukyanivske and Pavlivka. They are currently working on trying to push back into Stepnohirsk and force the frontline back to the fortifications that run through the area.

Russian Forces Advance: 13.53 km²

Top Advance = 0.91km2, Upper Middle Advance = 1.21km2, Middle Advance = 1.42km2, Lower Middle Advance = 2.19km2, Bottom Advance = 7.80km2

Following on from picture 1, on the north side there were some more smaller advances in the treelines near the border, with Russia capturing a few more but not pushing much further away from their own lines.

To the south the previously mentioned Russian groups around Novodmytrivka captured more of the forest area, but still have not entered the village yet. At the same time to the south other Russian groups captured the forest area east of Taratutyne and entered the village.

In February Ukraine reportedly redeployed part of the 253rd Assault Regiment to this region in order to counterattack and keep the Russians pinned at the border line. With this now failing and the Russians moving further into Sumy in several areas Ukraine has now been forced to also redeploy part the 425th Assault Regiment (Skala) from the Pokrovske front in order to launch counterattacks of their own. If you were following my analysis from months ago when Russia first launched these border crossings you will know that this is now a success for them, as they have been able to exert enough pressure on these border regions with this smaller grouping to force Ukraine to respond and redeploy forces from other frontlines. Even if the Russian advance here completely stalls as long as they can keep these assault regiments pinned in a relatively low priority front it will help achieve their goals in other areas.

Russian Forces Advance: 25.02 km²

Top Left Advance = 2.11km2, Top Right Advance = 22.91km2

Following on from picture 2, on the northwest side Russia secured the remainder of Veterynarne, capturing the village. It’s incredibly unlikely they will move out from here, as their goal is to stick close to their own lines and harass the border, so they may target the nearby villages of Hraniv and Shevchenka instead (on the border southeast).

To the southeast, new Russian crossings and assaults east of Vovchansk over the past week have borne fruit, with their forces managing to quickly capture the remaining border treelines in this section and part of the forest areas, before pushing into and capturing the village of Zybyne. Other groups to the east have also entered the village of Okhrimivka, which is notable as it’s on the other side of the Vovcha River from the Russians.

With this new series of attacks Ukraine has been forced to redeploy several units from the Kupyansk front to the northern front in order to stabilise and prevent the Russians from capturing the border region. This could hardly have come at a worse time for Ukraine, as the Kupyansk front was already having severe issues and now finds itself with even fewer forces to deal with the large Russian infiltrations and resurgence of operations in western Kupyansk.

Russian Forces Advance: 0.23 km²

Advance = 0.23km2

Speaking of, following on from picture 3 Russian DRGs have been fanning out into western Kupyansk, managing to head deep through the town all the way to its northwestern edge (Ukrainian claim). Despite months of attacks and clearing operations the Russians held out in western Kupyansk and have quickly been able to infiltrate much of the town once again due to the poor coordination and consolidation of Ukrainian units on this front.

To the southeast, Russian assault groups expanded their control of Kurylivka slightly and have begun stepping up their attempts to establish a foothold in Kivsharivka.

On a related note, there was a scandal recently where Ukrainians soldiers reported soldiers going for extended periods without food or water on this front due to logistical issues. This doesn’t come out of nowhere, but occurs due to persistent Russian drone pressure on logistics and the refusal of Ukrainian command to order withdrawals. Whilst it rarely is discussed or admitted publicly, it happens far more often than most people realise. Whenever you see the innumerable number of videos of logistics strikes and wonder why they occur, this is the goal and why so much effort is put into it.

Ukrainian Forces Advance: 2.52 km²

Advance = 2.52km2

Down south on the Oskil River front, Ukraine launched a counterattack in April and managed to recapture on of the trench networks near Lozova. This area is incredibly static so minimal will come of this, just the standard back and forth.

Context

No Advance

Onto the Lyman front, Ukriane has been launching some attacks into the fields and treelines outside of the town, trying to push the Russians back and reestablish some kind of buffer.

Russian Forces Advance: 0.58 km²

Advance = 0.55km2

Following on from picture 5, Russia made another minor advance towards Rai-Oleksandriva, creeping closer to the village.

Russian Forces Advance: 5.38 km²

Middle Advance = 4.65km2, Bottom Advance = 0.73km2

Further south on the same front, over the past couple of weeks Russia managed to resecure Minkivka following the Ukrainian counterattacks in March, although they may try again as long as they have a route over the canal.

At the same time some Russian DRGs have been working on moving out along the Bakhmut-Slovyansk Road, attempting to force Ukraine to withdraw west of the canal.

Russian Forces Advance: 0.11 km²

Advance = 0.11km2

Over in Kostyantynivka, Russia has renewed attempts to push into the eastern side of the city, whilst their attacks from Illinivka and Berestok are ongoing and have had minimal success so far.

Context

No Advance

Heading to the Dobropillya front, Ukraine has been trying to infiltrate Toretske and recapture the trenches on the edge of the village, whilst Russian troops have responded with drones and artillery.

Russian Forces Advance: 4.12 km²

Upper Right Advance = 1.62km2, Upper Middle Advance = 0.73km2, Lower Middle Advance = 1.77km2

Onto the Pokrovsk front, Russia held Hryshyne against the Ukrainian counterattacks through March and early April, retaking- the outer houses and treelines. The small town is still vulnerable though, as Ukraine will continue to attack it unless Russia can push out and capture the surrounding village of Vasylivka and Novooleksandrivka.

To the northeast there was a minor Russian advance along a treeline near Rodynske but the front here is quite static.

Ukrainian Forces Advance: 2.98 km²

Upper Middle Left Advance = 2.03km2, Lower Middle Left Advance = 0.95km2

Back to the Pokrovske front, there have been a variety of movements over the past few weeks on all sides. Going east to west, Ukraine has been trying to counterattack Berezove and Ternove, whilst simultaneously Russia has pushed back out to Stepove, Kalynivske and Verbove, all solidly in the greyzone.

A little to the west Ukraine has been launching its own attacks in the fields between the Yanchur and Haichur rivers, with no advances confirmed yet.

Going northwest, Ukraine managed to resecure Boikove after forcing the Russians to retreat, whilst they managed to recapture Kosivtseve and have taken over a bit more of Ternuvate.

Russian Forces Advance: 0.79 km²

Advance = 0.79km2

Down to the Hulyaipole front, Russia has continued trying to flood DRGs out into the fields north and south of the fortification line (dark blue), with no advances confirmed.

Meanwhile to the north Russia is trying to push into Verkhyna Tersa whilst Ukraine sends in the occasional vehicle or group to try break through to Zaliznychne.

Russian Forces Advance: 2.42 km²

Advance = 2.42km2

Following on from picture 7, Ukraine is advancing in Prymorske, with its assault groups pushing further into the greyzone following the Russian withdrawal. They also allegedly cleared out the Russian troops in the areas further north, but this has been claimed several times before so its unclear if its actually true this time or if they persist like they did in Kupyansk for months.

Russian Forces Advance: 1.19 km²

, Middle Left Advance = 1.19km2

from picture 18