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Post #49

UA POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 845 to Day 847 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Jun 18, 2024 — Jun 20, 2024 War Day 845–847

Pictures 1 to 4 are from Day 845, Pictures 5 to 7 are from Day 846, and Pictures 8 to 10 are from Day 847.

With this post, we are now up to date on the map changes. Its UA POV as Suriyak is neutral, and this post shows greater Ukrainian progress, thus favouring Ukraine.


A reminder that these maps are confirming updates from yesterday (i.e. 12 to 24 hours delayed).

Ukrainian Advance
26.58 km²
Overall (set): 26.58 km²
Russian Advance
7.67 km²
Net Change
18.91 km²

Situation Snapshots

Imagery, commentary, and territorial changes from the period.

11 entries
Russian Forces Advance: 0.79 km²

Top Advance = 0.79km2

Russian forces continue their advances around Ocheretyne. North of the town, they captured the opposite side of the reservoir, and are contuing to make progress towards their next goal of Kalynove (just off picture at the top). To the west, Russian forces advanced North of Sokil, and attempted to bypass the major Ukrainian trench network next to the river.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.09 km²

Advance = 0.09km2

As discussed yesterday, Russian forces are attempting to capture Rozdolivka, making more progress along the railway today. At this stage, we can say that Ukraine will almost certainly be unable to hold the town, as Russian forces now surround it on the hills to the north-east, and at the railway to the west. Russian forces are also attempting to push further into the hills to the north, however to confirmations of their progress could be made yet.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.54 km²

Advance = 0.54km2

Following on from my other post, Ukrainian forces have continued their assaults at Hlyboke, and have established a small foothold on the edge of the village. It is far too early to say whether Ukraine will be successful here, as this is not the first attack they have launched towards Hlyboke, nor the first time they have taken a foothold, with both previous attempts being thwarted.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.26 km²

Advance = 0.26km2

Russian forces re-entered Kalinina, having failed to consolidate their positions there last week. This time, Russian forces have taken a more methodical approach, and are being far more cautious in clearing the forest area, and protecting their flanks. Ukrainian forces are still present in the large forest between Kalinina and the microdistrict, however are having issues due to needing to split their forces between both of these locations.
Russian Forces Advance: 1.95 km²

Top Left Advance = 0.30km2, Top Right Advance = 0.46km2, Middle advance = 0.51km2, Bottom advance = 0.68km2

Lots of smaller developments are happening around Ocheretyne. In the north, Russian forces pushed closer to Kalynove, taking over a small trench network. To the east of this, Russian forces made an opportunistic advance, taking over a trenchline just south of Oleksandropil.

Back to the west, and Russian forces managed to force Ukrainian forces to abandon the large trench network mentioned in Pic 1, taking it over for themselves. Further south, Russian forces entered the outskirts of Yasnobrodivka, which is a collection of large mansions along the lake and river.
Russian Forces Advance: 1.47 km²

Advance = 1.47km2

Russian forces launched a surprise attack on the Toretsk front, pushing up along the railway and capturing the pumping station. This move was quite unexpected, as the Ukrainian defences in this area are dense, and date back to the start of the civil war in 2014/2015. Doing a little digging, the Russian units involved in this attack are separate to the ones operating around Ocheretyne (west), and Klishchiivka (north).

For now, this is only an opportunistic attack and not some large breakthrough as Russian sources have been claiming, however Ukraine will have to respond or risk losing valuable defences due to not having the forces to man them.
Russian Forces Advance: 1.55 km²

Left Advance = 0.05km2, Middle Advance = 0.16km2, Right Advance = 1.34km2

Back to Vovchansk, Ukrainain forces made a small bit of progress in the town, capturing a couple of buildings next to the main road. This is part of the back and forth fighting we have seen for the past month, and may well go back to being grey zone, as it did last week.

Further east, Ukrainian forces crossed the river on the eastern outskirts of Vovchansk, forcing Russian units to pull back or risk being encircled. Ukrainian forces also recaptured Tykhe, as no Russian forces were occupying this area.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.45 km²

Advance = 0.45km2

Russian advances west of Solodke continue, this time capturing another few treelines. Ukrainian forces here do not look to have the numbers to stop Russian attacks, but are not being cut off or wiped out either. They are simply forced to pull back one field at a time to avoid being killed. Russian forces also aren't numerous enough to simply overrun the Ukrainian forces, and thus the pattern of one side pushing up, and the other pulling back, continues.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.57 km²

Advance = 0.57km2

As I mentioned previously, Russian forces continue to expand the buffer around Heorhiivka, capturing another field today. Russian attacks are still continuing to the west, however confirmation of any territorial change has not come through yet.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 24.49 km²

Advance = 24.49km2

Ukrainian recon forces re-entered the fields east of Vovchansk. This area was initially taken by Russian recon forces, who met little to no resistance themselves, and who pulled back over the border in the past few weeks. Ukrainian recon forces also met no resistance, and thus can be said to have 'captured' this area, in the same way Russia did.

It is important to clarify, that neither Russia (when it held here), nor Ukraine (right now), actually has many forces here. The forests and fields here are so close to the border they are effectively grey-zone, and had been for years until Russia started its attacks here last month. Both sides took this area with a few recon groups, who just cleared the forests, and scouted for any of the other's sides forces. Do not expect Ukraine to launch some major attack through the fields from that side.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 2.09 km²

Bottom Advance = 2.09km2