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Post #79

UA POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 898 to 900 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Aug 10, 2024 — Aug 12, 2024 War Day 898–900

Pictures 1 to 5 are from Day 898, Pictures 6 to 9 are from Day 899, and Pictures 10 to 14 are from Day 900.

Ukrainian Advance
112.77 km²
Overall (set): 112.77 km²
Russian Advance
29.94 km²
Net Change
82.83 km²

Situation Snapshots

Imagery, commentary, and territorial changes from the period.

14 entries
Russian Forces Advance: 0.57 km²

Advance = 0.57km2

(Picture 1) In Druzhba, Russian forces continue to advance in the town, capturing the northern section of it. From here, they will continue to head west to clear the remainder of it, which will likely take a week or 2.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.17 km²

Advance = 0.17km2

(Picture 2) In Kostyantynivka, following the establishment of a small foothold a few weeks ago, Russian assault groups have begun to enter the town. Russia is employing almost identical tactics here as they are on other fronts, using very small groups of infantry (less than 7) to clear house by house, with heavy drone cover. Ukraine for their part is mostly contesting this area with their own drones, with mixed success.
Russian Forces Advance: 1.06 km²

Advance = 1.06km2

(Picture 3) Onto the Pokrovsk front, and Russian forces were confirmed to have captured the remainder of Ivanivka, after their assaults a few days ago. The focus for most Russian troops in this area is now on Hrodivka, as Russia looks to capture the town to use as a base for an eventual assault on Pokrovske.
Russian Forces Advance: 5.16 km²

Advance = 5.16km2

(Picture 4) On the Oskil River front, geolocated footage has confirmed Russian capture of a number of fields at the start of the Zherebets River. This follows my prediction from a little over 2 weeks ago that Russian forces would seek to capture the eastern side of the river and drive Ukraine out, before heading west.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 19.78 km²

Top Advance = 4.50km2, Middle Advance = 7.58km2, Bottom Advance = 7.70km2

(Picture 5) In Kursk, Ukrainian DRGs made progress on the north and south side of Sudzha, capturing more of the town, and pushing Russian forces back into the southeastern section. To the south, another Ukrainian unit advances through the forests towards Plekhovo, as they look to continue pushing deeper into Russian territory.

The northern area has fallen into the greyzone, as geolocated footage has shown UA troops operating here, however there are also videos of them under attack and suffering heavy casualties (Video 1, Video 2, and Video 3), so control is unknown.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.17 km²

Advance = 0.17km2

(Picture 6) Near Vodiane, Russian soldiers advanced up another treeline, close to the main Ukrainian trench network defending the road. Whilst Russian soldiers have already cut the road further north, they are trying to expand their control of all the southern fields, and capturing this trench network will provide them a staging point for an eventual attack on Vodiane.
Russian Forces Advance: 13.01 km²

Top Advance = 0.18km2, Upper Middle Advance = 5.27km2, Lower Middle Advance = 7.19km2, Bottom Left Advance = 0.37km2

(Picture 7) The big development from the past few days was the confirmation that Ukraine had withdrawn/was forced out from the old defences lines east of Niu-York. This began last week and has accelerated since, with Russia also taking most of the eastern suburbs too. It is not an exaggeration to say this is likely the preface to loss of Niu-York, as abandoning those defence lines opens the way for Russia to attack the northeastern and eastern side of the town, and even possibly cut them off at Nelipivka.

In Pivnichne, Russian assault groups made more progress towards Toretsk, advancing a few more houses up the main road. There was also a small advance towards Panteleimonivka, as one Russian unit have taken advantage of the chaos to slowly push west.
Russian Forces Advance: 9.15 km²

Advance = 9.15km2

(Picture 8) Back over to the Oskil River front, and over the past few days Russia has made some large gains north of Pishchane. As I mentioned a few weeks ago, Russian forces in this area had 2 options; push towards the river, or head north to flank Ukrainian positions, and now it has been confirmed that they chose the latter. Ukrainian defence lines around Kyslivka/Kotlyarivka (under the k) are now under threat, which will likely force them to abandon their positions.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 63.37 km²

Left Advance = 13.36km2, Middle Advance = 9.37km2, Right Advance = 40.64km2

(Picture 9) In Kursk, battles continued for another day. Russian forces counterattacked and recaptured Snagost, as exposed Ukrainian troops were unable to hold the line. Along the main road, Ukraine advances slightly further north towards Kremyanoe and Olgovka, likely looking to position themselves for another attempt on Korenevo. To the east, the previous grey zone has now fallen under Ukrainian control, as they have captured a few of the small villages and are trying to advance out east towards Martynovka and Berdin, following their failed assaults a few days ago.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.33 km²

Advance = 0.33km2

(Picture 10) Returning to Kostyantynivka, Russian assaults troops, mentioned in pic 2, made more progress in the town, captured the eastern side.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.32 km²

Advance = 0.32km2

(Picture 11) In Pivnichne, following the advance shown in Pic 7, Russian troops unexpectedly advanced even further towards Toretsk, and look to have taken the apartment buildings on the eastern side, as well as some of the forest area. This was unexpected as Ukraine the bulk of Ukraine’s forces in this area are now located in Toretsk, have already been clashing with these assault units, and Russia has yet to secure the flanks on the northern and southern side of these advances. Thus, Russia will likely try clear the slag heap, and northern suburbs of Pivnichne, whilst their troops occupy Ukrainian forces in Toretsk.
Context Advance: 0.00 km²

No advance

(Picture 12) In Kursk, Ukrainian forces attacked north towards Kremyanoe using the same small motorised units they have employed thus far. Russian units in this area, which have been reinforced in recent days, successfully defended the villages, likely wiping out most of the assaulting Ukrainians, as shown in these videos (Video 1, Video 2, Video 3).

Clashes were also reported near Martynovka and Obukhovka, however the outcomes of these are unclear.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 2.77 km²

Advance = 2.77km2

(Picture 13) In Sudzha itself, Ukraine confirmed their control of the centre of the town, as well as advancing on the eastern side. Russian forces look to have pulled back to the southeastern section of the town, which they are holding for now. Ukrainian sources have made many claims regarding full control of Sudzha in the last week, including on the first day, however geolocations and fighting have shown otherwise. Thus, until we get solid evidence, I’d advise you remain sceptical of any claims of Ukrainian capture of Sudzha. Given their current advances, Ukraine could take this area within the next few days.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 26.85 km²

Advance = 26.85km2

(Picture 14) The big news item in Kursk this update is the Ukrainian advance south of the Psel River. Conflicting information and scattered videos made determining exactly what happened a mess initially, but there is enough evidence now to form a picture.