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Post #85

UA POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 908 to 910 of the War - Suriyakmaps

Aug 20, 2024 — Aug 22, 2024 War Day 908–910

Sorry for being late with this post. Mix of me lacking the time to properly write up the analysis, and Suriyak being delayed with Day 910. I’ve split Day 911 into a separate post.

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Pictures 1 is a late update from Day 908, Pictures 2 to 5 are from Day 909, and Pictures 6 to 11 are from Day 910.

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A reminder that these maps are confirming updates from previous days (i.e. 12 to 24 hours delayed from each day).

Ukrainian Advance
41.02 km²
Overall (set): 110.73 km²
Russian Advance
24.22 km²
Net Change
16.80 km²

Situation Snapshots

Imagery, commentary, and territorial changes from the period.

11 entries
Russian Forces Advance: 0.58 km²

Top Advance = 0.04km2, Bottom Advance = 0.54km2

On the Chasiv Yar front, Russian forces made some more progress north of Kalinivna, capturing a field and a few treelines. The goal here is likely to expand their control of the area along the canal itself, rather than trying to capture Hryhorivka (top blue dot), although that is probably a secondary objective.
Russian Forces Advance: 1.17 km²

Advance = 1.17km2

On the Robotyne front, Russia troops made an unexpected advance in Luhivske, recapturing most of the village. Russian troops lost control of this area during the Ukrainian counteroffensive in mid-2023, and this area of the front has been quiet ever since. This advance was opportunistic, rather than part of a new Russian offensive, taking advantage of the few Ukrainian troops in this area.
Russian Forces Advance: 11.08 km²

Top Advance = 1.30km2, Middle Advance = 2.66km2, Bottom Middle Advance = 3.95km2, Bottom Right Advance = 3.17km2

On the Pokrovsk front, Russian forces continued making advances in multiple areas. In Hrodivka (north), Russian assault groups made more progress in the town, capturing most of the eastern side. Russian progress here will likely speed up in the coming days, as the town itself is deceptively indefensible, and Ukrainian troops will be forced back due to attacks from multiple sides.

Around Novohrodivka, Russian assault groups capturing a chunk of the fields east of the railway, and advanced up to the edge of the town. As of this update Russian troops hadn’t yet established a foothold, however assaults on the Novohrodivka begun shortly after. It is imperative that Ukraine maintain control of this town, as its loss would provide Russia a key forward operating base for their offensive, and opens the way for an attack on Selydove (south).

To the south, Russian advances through the fields continue, with Russian assault groups making more progress to the west and east of Ptyche. Russian troops are already assaults this village, and will almost certainly capture it within the next few days. Ukrainian troops continue to retreat in this area, as their forces have lost key defensive positions, lack numbers, and do not have the numbers to properly man the frontline.
Russian Forces Advance: 1.74 km²

Top Advance = 1.55km2, Middle Left Advance = 0.19km2

On the Toretsk front, Russian forces made some more progress in Druzhba, capturing some more streets. Ukrainian troops here look to be pulling back, as assaults on Toretsk itself have begun. To the northeast, Russian forces finally captured the fields and treelines next to the canal, which were being held by a Ukrainian unit occupying a small trench network next to the forest area.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 35.92 km²

Top Left Advance = 9.25km2, Top Middle Advance = 12.99km2, Top Right Advance = (Corrected Picture 11), Bottom Right Advance = 13.68km2

In Kursk, Ukrainian troops continued advancing in several areas. On the west side, Ukrainian troops pushed back into the forests around Komarovka and Krasnooktyabroskoe for a second time, where clashes are currently ongoing. On the north side, Ukrainian forces captured some more fields to the south of Korenevo, as they position themselves for further attempts on the town.

East of here, a chunk of the area previously marked greyzone has been changed to Ukrainian control, as some geolocated footage has shown a few Ukrainian vehicles hidden in some of the forest areas north of Olgovka. Its not entirely clear whether these were recent advances, or happened in the chaos of the first week, or if Ukraine is even in this area anymore, so I disagree with Suriyak here. He does make some corrections in Picture 11 however.

On the eastern side, Ukrainian assaults towards Nechaev (red dot above m) were stopped by Russian troops, with Ukraine pulling back into Russkoe Porechnoe.

On the southeastern side of the front, Ukrainian troops captured the fields south of Sudzha, and made several assaults on the village of Russkaya Konopelka, some of which can be seen in this video and this video. Whilst Ukraine lost a tank, an IFV, and several armoured cars in these assaults, most of the village remains in the greyzone as Russian troops are shown to not control the area. Further assaults by Ukraine are expected.
Russian Forces Advance: 5.09 km²

Top Left Advance = 0.07km2, Upper Left Advance = 0.40km2, Middle Left Advance = 1.07km2, Middle Right Advance = 3.55km2

Back to the Pokrovsk front, Russian forces continued making progress. In Novohrodivka, Russian assault groups entered the town, capturing some buildings on the eastern and southern side, confirming the start of the battle for the town. As I’ve mentioned in previous posts, given Ukraine’s lack of infantry and low supply on this front, they will likely find it difficult to properly hold Novohrodivka, as they cannot turn the battle into a slow grind without those things. Russian assault groups will almost certainly try to outflank the Ukrainian infantry set up across the town, so we will have to wait and see how Ukraine responds with its tired, understrength force.

To the south, Russian troops made even more progress through the fields, capturing several more as well as the village of Ptyche. There are also reports that assaults on Kalynove have already begun (not main section under name, but north side under the r), as Russian troops continue to press their advantage.
Russian Forces Advance: 0.59 km²

Advance = 0.59km2

In Toretsk, following clashes mentioned in the previous update, Russian forces have been confirmed to have entered Toretsk and captured several of the apartment complexes and hospital on the eastern side. Whilst the battle for Toretsk technically started over a week ago when Russia entered one of the remote residential areas, this marks the start of the fight for the own proper. Ukrainian troops in the small residential area and forest the south will likely withdraw back into the town over the next few days, in order to avoid being cut off and help defend the central part of Toretsk.
Russian Forces Advance: 1.16 km²

Advance = 1.16km2

Continuing on from their advance a few days prior, Russian troops south of Ivanivske captured several fields and trenchlines, as they slowly push Ukraine out of the area east of the canal. There are still several more trench networks in this area Russia will have to clear before it can force Ukraine back over the canal.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 1.92 km²

Advance = 1.92km2

West of Novovodyane, Ukrainian forces attacked Russian positions in the fields and forest area, pushing them back over the Zherebets River. Its unclear whether Ukrainian troops intend to continue attacking Russian positions on the west side of the Zherebets River, or if this was simply an opportunistic advance.
Russian Forces Advance: 2.81 km²

Advance = 2.81km2

North of Pishchane (bottom red dot), Russian troops captured several more fields, expanding their spearhead towards the Oskil River. From satellite imagery, Ukrainian troops are currently digging trenches and fortifying Kolisnykivka and Hlushkivka, preparing for an inevitable assault on those villages.
Ukrainian Forces Advance: 3.18 km²

Upper Left Advance = 1.50km2, Lower Left Advance = 1.68km2

Back over to Kursk, on the western side, Ukrainian troops captured the eastern part of Krasnooktyabroskoe next to the river, as well as expanded their control of the fields to the south.

Following on from Picture 5, Suriyak has corrected the frontline in the area east of Korenevo, showing Ukrainian advances north of Olgovka and Kruglenkoe, but also that Russia still controls Kalinov and Sheptukhovka. I’ve posted an image with the actual advances circled in a comment below, to save you have to compare which advances in Pic 5 were corrected in Pic 11. These are also the advances shown in the calculations above, rather than showing a larger UA advance in Pic 5 that then gets partially undone in Pic 11.